Will "digital" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 24% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

35 of 2207 launches in the last hour referenced "digital" (19 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 0.17×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.291886522358297,
      "momentum": -1.7557943205345397,
      "diversity": -0.2485714285714286
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.2393512383298416
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "digital",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.002777777777777778,
    "share60": 0.016077898550724636,
    "total15": 539,
    "total60": 2207,
    "momentum": 0.17276995305164322,
    "diversity": 0.5428571428571428,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 35,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 19
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 274,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990925,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999621875
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.2393512383298416
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.002652955815373057,
  "shareRatio": 0.7789338389174051,
  "totalAfter": 42594,
  "shareBefore": 0.003409431223939736,
  "totalBefore": 43409,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 113,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 148
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity