Will "martian" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

63 of 2626 launches in the last hour referenced "martian" (25 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 3.18×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3800545220936148,
      "momentum": 1.1556038480729793,
      "diversity": -0.4238095238095238
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5636341621431272
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "martian",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.07676902536715621,
    "share60": 0.024172059383326987,
    "total15": 748,
    "total60": 2626,
    "momentum": 3.1759406242444,
    "diversity": 0.3968253968253968,
    "launches15": 57,
    "launches60": 63,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 25
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 267,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960316666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998346527777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5636341621431272
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00007155293724807403,
  "shareRatio": 0.03791972895730598,
  "totalAfter": 41927,
  "shareBefore": 0.0021896779054435865,
  "totalBefore": 42472,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 3,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 93
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity