Will "floyd" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 71% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

33 of 2681 launches in the last hour referenced "floyd" (24 distinct creators, rank #25). Last 15m momentum 2.61×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28306044735485697,
      "momentum": 0.9595963366296723,
      "diversity": -0.027272727272727247
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7141006425938509
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "floyd",
    "rank60": 25,
    "share15": 0.03260869565217391,
    "share60": 0.012490678598061149,
    "total15": 689,
    "total60": 2681,
    "momentum": 2.6106424399740424,
    "diversity": 0.7272727272727273,
    "launches15": 22,
    "launches60": 33,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 24
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 285,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929736111111112,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9929736111111112
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7141006425938509
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.013437849944008958,
  "shareRatio": 1.0674453817867187,
  "totalAfter": 2679,
  "shareBefore": 0.012578616352201259,
  "totalBefore": 2703,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 36,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 34
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity