Will "charity" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 18% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

59 of 2681 launches in the last hour referenced "charity" (29 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.16×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3702149297207429,
      "momentum": -1.8120591144271103,
      "diversity": -0.31016949152542367
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.1785196155335436
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "charity",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.0036231884057971015,
    "share60": 0.022184936614466817,
    "total15": 689,
    "total60": 2681,
    "momentum": 0.16331750091340883,
    "diversity": 0.4915254237288136,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 59,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 29
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 285,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929736111111112,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9988289351851852
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.1785196155335436
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004751209398756047,
  "shareRatio": 0.7184098444528607,
  "totalAfter": 11576,
  "shareBefore": 0.006639288158795346,
  "totalBefore": 14610,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 55,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 97
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity