Will "mikan" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 68% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

52 of 2681 launches in the last hour referenced "mikan" (30 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 3.89×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.351270870922099,
      "momentum": 1.3576264662503188,
      "diversity": -0.20769230769230776
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6793624703128917
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "mikan",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.07608695652173914,
    "share60": 0.019574944071588368,
    "total15": 689,
    "total60": 2681,
    "momentum": 3.8869565217391306,
    "diversity": 0.5769230769230769,
    "launches15": 52,
    "launches60": 52,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 30
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 285,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929736111111112,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9988289351851852
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6793624703128917
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0011230131306150656,
  "shareRatio": 0.3245326324362344,
  "totalAfter": 11576,
  "shareBefore": 0.003559206023271732,
  "totalBefore": 14610,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 13,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 52
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity