Will "alternative" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 60% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 2681 launches in the last hour referenced "alternative" (6 distinct creators, rank #149). Last 15m momentum 3.89×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": 1.3576264662503188,
      "diversity": 0
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6020618297843631
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "alternative",
    "rank60": 149,
    "share15": 0.012318840579710146,
    "share60": 0.003169276659209545,
    "total15": 689,
    "total60": 2681,
    "momentum": 3.8869565217391306,
    "diversity": 0.75,
    "launches15": 8,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 285,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929736111111112,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997072337962963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6020618297843631
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0005531106461775245,
  "shareRatio": 2.288417935469686,
  "totalAfter": 41583,
  "shareBefore": 0.0002351945058563432,
  "totalBefore": 42518,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 23,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 10
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity