Will "credit" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 5% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

80 of 2673 launches in the last hour referenced "credit" (11 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.03×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4158883083359672,
      "momentum": -3.3824360967974467,
      "diversity": -0.735
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.05259610411491393
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "credit",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.0010224948875255625,
    "share60": 0.030104712041884817,
    "total15": 488,
    "total60": 2673,
    "momentum": 0.033964612785631725,
    "diversity": 0.1375,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 80,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 11
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 308,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9971430555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9995238425925926
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.05259610411491393
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00018962738219398882,
  "shareRatio": 0.037847574536994326,
  "totalAfter": 10547,
  "shareBefore": 0.006228842247799593,
  "totalBefore": 14770,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 2,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 92
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity