Will "hope" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 17% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

62 of 2673 launches in the last hour referenced "hope" (35 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.13×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.37765447089164866,
      "momentum": -2.030733180447175,
      "diversity": -0.22258064516129025
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.16617784744223935
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "hope",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.003067484662576687,
    "share60": 0.02337322363500374,
    "total15": 488,
    "total60": 2673,
    "momentum": 0.13123926380368098,
    "diversity": 0.5645161290322581,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 62,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 35
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 308,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9971430555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9995238425925926
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.16617784744223935
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0008533232198729496,
  "shareRatio": 0.15379679132663016,
  "totalAfter": 10547,
  "shareBefore": 0.005822613405551794,
  "totalBefore": 14770,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 9,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 86
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity