Will "pair" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 63% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

23 of 2673 launches in the last hour referenced "pair" (14 distinct creators, rank #36). Last 15m momentum 5.00×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.22890844552425738,
      "momentum": 1.6100207821705204,
      "diversity": -0.16956521739130428
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6305744517281021
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pair",
    "rank60": 36,
    "share15": 0.04396728016359918,
    "share60": 0.008788332086761406,
    "total15": 488,
    "total60": 2673,
    "momentum": 5.002915198189966,
    "diversity": 0.6086956521739131,
    "launches15": 21,
    "launches60": 23,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 14
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 308,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9971430555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998809606481481
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6305744517281021
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0033782141641957907,
  "shareRatio": 0.9359145005707323,
  "totalAfter": 41146,
  "shareBefore": 0.0036108652098961,
  "totalBefore": 42926,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 139,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 155
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity