Will "money" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 46% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

50 of 1959 launches in the last hour referenced "money" (28 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 1.13×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34538776394910686,
      "momentum": 0.12153154916137728,
      "diversity": -0.22799999999999992
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4549871133316812
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "money",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.029094827586206896,
    "share60": 0.02576530612244898,
    "total15": 463,
    "total60": 1959,
    "momentum": 1.1292249914646637,
    "diversity": 0.56,
    "launches15": 13,
    "launches60": 50,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 28
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 281,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9946308333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997762847222222
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4549871133316812
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.007539327743276225,
  "shareRatio": 0.8986905974022062,
  "totalAfter": 41383,
  "shareBefore": 0.008390987284966343,
  "totalBefore": 42784,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 312,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 359
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity