Will "work" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 74% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

86 of 1913 launches in the last hour referenced "work" (86 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 1.81×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4267364075729111,
      "momentum": 0.593550369618869,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7350284564227295
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "work",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.08181818181818182,
    "share60": 0.04519331243469175,
    "total15": 494,
    "total60": 1913,
    "momentum": 1.8104046242774565,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 40,
    "launches60": 86,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 86
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 277,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999113888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999113888888889
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7350284564227295
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.008933263268523384,
  "shareRatio": 0.20348095885753145,
  "totalAfter": 1903,
  "shareBefore": 0.04493207941483804,
  "totalBefore": 1914,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 17,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 86
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity