Will "verifiable" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 31% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1913 launches in the last hour referenced "verifiable" (5 distinct creators, rank #333). Last 15m momentum 0.35×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": -1.0455024633541612,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.30537073164665884
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "verifiable",
    "rank60": 333,
    "share15": 0.00101010101010101,
    "share60": 0.0028735632183908046,
    "total15": 494,
    "total60": 1913,
    "momentum": 0.3515151515151515,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 277,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999113888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999852314814814
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.30537073164665884
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0009151921903599756,
  "shareRatio": 1.3206671992640473,
  "totalAfter": 9834,
  "shareBefore": 0.0006966213862765587,
  "totalBefore": 14355,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 9,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 10
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity