Will "charity" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 71% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

46 of 1846 launches in the last hour referenced "charity" (20 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 3.43×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3328805226082492,
      "momentum": 1.231248091296561,
      "diversity": -0.3782608695652174
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7080366845515301
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "charity",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.08624031007751938,
    "share60": 0.025175961017866812,
    "total15": 515,
    "total60": 1846,
    "momentum": 3.4255022088855545,
    "diversity": 0.43478260869565216,
    "launches15": 44,
    "launches60": 46,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 20
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 312,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929386111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9929386111111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7080366845515301
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.012121212121212121,
  "shareRatio": 0.4947995024195177,
  "totalAfter": 1650,
  "shareBefore": 0.024838012958963283,
  "totalBefore": 1852,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 20,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 46
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity