Will "justice" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?
GENESIS said 59% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL
What GENESIS knew, before
41 of 1846 launches in the last hour referenced "justice" (23 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 2.37×.
{
"model": {
"bias": -0.3,
"version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
"horizonScale": 0.7,
"contributions": {
"volume": 0.3156201231405311,
"momentum": 0.8637037921535502,
"diversity": -0.22682926829268285
},
"rawProbability": 0.5906725250795453
},
"features": {
"term": "justice",
"rank60": 7,
"share15": 0.05329457364341085,
"share60": 0.022468868435300486,
"total15": 515,
"total60": 1846,
"momentum": 2.3719295787802372,
"diversity": 0.5609756097560976,
"launches15": 27,
"launches60": 41,
"contextMinutes": 60,
"uniqueCreators60": 23
},
"extractor": "terms-v2",
"selection": "top-volume",
"candidates": 312,
"calibration": null,
"methodology": "attention-v1",
"termHistory": null,
"contextCoverage": 0.9929386111111111,
"memoriesRecalled": 0,
"priorWindowCoverage": 0.9988231018518519
}{
"direction": "up",
"magnitude": null,
"magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
"probabilityUp": 0.5906725250795453
}P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.
What happened, after
{
"shareAfter": 0.01063973063973064,
"shareRatio": 0.9146794497839942,
"totalAfter": 7425,
"shareBefore": 0.011662059433310298,
"totalBefore": 11576,
"coverageAfter": 1,
"launchesAfter": 79,
"coverageBefore": 1,
"launchesBefore": 135
}Predicted 59% that "justice" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.17% → 1.06% (-9%). PARTIAL.
— "justice" stayed roughly flat over 6H. Share changed by less than 10%; direction calls this close carry little information.
1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).
Integrity
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