Will "charity" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 30% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

63 of 1710 launches in the last hour referenced "charity" (19 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.53×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3800545220936148,
      "momentum": -0.6334971095653872,
      "diversity": -0.5380952380952381
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.29857842303167814
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "charity",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.019696969696969695,
    "share60": 0.03711279953243717,
    "total15": 329,
    "total60": 1710,
    "momentum": 0.5307325220711047,
    "diversity": 0.30158730158730157,
    "launches15": 6,
    "launches60": 63,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 19
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 231,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982616666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997102777777778
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.29857842303167814
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0019249278152069298,
  "shareRatio": 0.2891380913102112,
  "totalAfter": 7273,
  "shareBefore": 0.006848030018761726,
  "totalBefore": 10660,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 14,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 73
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity