Will "zoo" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 29% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

27 of 1710 launches in the last hour referenced "zoo" (16 distinct creators, rank #15). Last 15m momentum 0.28×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2529598430355343,
      "momentum": -1.262980277132694,
      "diversity": -0.1888888888888889
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.28916257749657986
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "zoo",
    "rank60": 15,
    "share15": 0.004545454545454545,
    "share60": 0.016072472238457043,
    "total15": 329,
    "total60": 1710,
    "momentum": 0.28280991735537186,
    "diversity": 0.5925925925925926,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 27,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 16
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 231,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982616666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999275694444445
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.28916257749657986
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0008809710258418168,
  "shareRatio": 0.6898865138720307,
  "totalAfter": 40864,
  "shareBefore": 0.0012832558032952175,
  "totalBefore": 43639,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 36,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 56
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity