Will "brandon" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 66% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 1646 launches in the last hour referenced "brandon" (6 distinct creators, rank #102). Last 15m momentum 3.60×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": 1.2798415460634553,
      "diversity": 0
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6559368861896641
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "brandon",
    "rank60": 102,
    "share15": 0.018558951965065504,
    "share60": 0.0051608986035215545,
    "total15": 457,
    "total60": 1646,
    "momentum": 3.596069868995633,
    "diversity": 0.75,
    "launches15": 8,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 201,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9954830555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9992471759259259
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6559368861896641
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0,
  "shareRatio": 0.08890537157691561,
  "totalAfter": 6978,
  "shareBefore": 0.0007585095287759553,
  "totalBefore": 10547,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 0,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 8
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity