Will "ily" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 59% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

36 of 1646 launches in the last hour referenced "ily" (24 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 3.00×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2961121539033014,
      "momentum": 1.1002559690883755,
      "diversity": -0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5861771494054556
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "ily",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.0665938864628821,
    "share60": 0.022161505768063146,
    "total15": 457,
    "total60": 1646,
    "momentum": 3.00493509601005,
    "diversity": 0.6666666666666666,
    "launches15": 30,
    "launches60": 36,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 24
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 201,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9954830555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998117939814815
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5861771494054556
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003507471903174015,
  "shareRatio": 3.1182720850754246,
  "totalAfter": 40485,
  "shareBefore": 0.0011173693932000092,
  "totalBefore": 43853,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 142,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 49
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity