Will "gemini" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 55% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

15 of 1197 launches in the last hour referenced "gemini" (13 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 2.02×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.16479184330021643,
      "momentum": 0.7029895595328375,
      "diversity": 0.14000000000000004
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5507968224965653
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "gemini",
    "rank60": 14,
    "share15": 0.02613240418118467,
    "share60": 0.01293823038397329,
    "total15": 286,
    "total60": 1197,
    "momentum": 2.0197819489715636,
    "diversity": 0.8666666666666667,
    "launches15": 7,
    "launches60": 15,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 13
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 124,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9971716666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998821527777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5507968224965653
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0007144440885910669,
  "shareRatio": 0.5812620012801365,
  "totalAfter": 40591,
  "shareBefore": 0.001238844662644245,
  "totalBefore": 43589,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 29,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 54
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity