Will "increase" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 47% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

19 of 1241 launches in the last hour referenced "increase" (5 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 2.08×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.200250160009851,
      "momentum": 0.7320323283587257,
      "diversity": -0.5842105263157895
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.46855056810250445
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "increase",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.03264604810996564,
    "share60": 0.01570048309178744,
    "total15": 290,
    "total60": 1241,
    "momentum": 2.0793021411578114,
    "diversity": 0.2631578947368421,
    "launches15": 9,
    "launches60": 19,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 118,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990736111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999961400462963
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.46855056810250445
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC.

Integrity