Will "hacchan" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

55 of 1254 launches in the last hour referenced "hacchan" (32 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 4.01×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.35968429091975557,
      "momentum": 1.388687661025731,
      "diversity": -0.20181818181818184
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6161590573041581
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "hacchan",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.17731629392971246,
    "share60": 0.044223107569721115,
    "total15": 312,
    "total60": 1254,
    "momentum": 4.0095846645367414,
    "diversity": 0.5818181818181818,
    "launches15": 55,
    "launches60": 55,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 32
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 112,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9926436111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996934837962963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6161590573041581
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0011061946902654867,
  "shareRatio": 0.8818287572988787,
  "totalAfter": 40680,
  "shareBefore": 0.001256941746463423,
  "totalBefore": 43757,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 45,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 55
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity