Will "20k" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 60% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 1254 launches in the last hour referenced "20k" (23 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.92×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": 1.3654307988614638,
      "diversity": -0.258139534883721
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6022928353505342
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "20k",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.13578274760383385,
    "share60": 0.034661354581673305,
    "total15": 312,
    "total60": 1254,
    "momentum": 3.917410304432448,
    "diversity": 0.5348837209302325,
    "launches15": 42,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 23
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 112,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9926436111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996934837962963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6022928353505342
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00031956735496558507,
  "shareRatio": 0.30570743616249146,
  "totalAfter": 40680,
  "shareBefore": 0.0010741138560687433,
  "totalBefore": 43757,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 13,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 47
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity