Will "wagmi" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

69 of 1262 launches in the last hour referenced "wagmi" (5 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 2.74×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3937002888244739,
      "momentum": 1.0077611742359924,
      "diversity": -0.8130434782608695
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5716087853795799
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "wagmi",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.15074626865671642,
    "share60": 0.055027711797308,
    "total15": 334,
    "total60": 1262,
    "momentum": 2.739460968538602,
    "diversity": 0.07246376811594203,
    "launches15": 50,
    "launches60": 69,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 132,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9980002777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9980002777777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5716087853795799
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.001998001998001998,
  "shareRatio": 0.045448671003317107,
  "totalAfter": 1001,
  "shareBefore": 0.05454545454545454,
  "totalBefore": 1265,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 2,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 69
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity