Will "moodeng" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 65% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

17 of 1059 launches in the last hour referenced "moodeng" (9 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 3.97×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.18356631474331733,
      "momentum": 1.3798092540854203,
      "diversity": -0.2647058823529412
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6477283490776998
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "moodeng",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.06561085972850679,
    "share60": 0.01650943396226415,
    "total15": 220,
    "total60": 1059,
    "momentum": 3.9741435035552684,
    "diversity": 0.5294117647058824,
    "launches15": 14,
    "launches60": 17,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 9
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 117,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9948941666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9991490277777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6477283490776998
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.000594035879767138,
  "shareRatio": 0.2303170005509976,
  "totalAfter": 8417,
  "shareBefore": 0.00277677170107449,
  "totalBefore": 8283,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 5,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 23
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity