Will "tech" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

13 of 1059 launches in the last hour referenced "tech" (13 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 1.95×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.14332671675411546,
      "momentum": 0.6699198923824013,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6175761013803347
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "tech",
    "rank60": 14,
    "share15": 0.024886877828054297,
    "share60": 0.012735849056603774,
    "total15": 220,
    "total60": 1059,
    "momentum": 1.9540807776101892,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 5,
    "launches60": 13,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 13
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 117,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9948941666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9991490277777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6175761013803347
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.005940358797671379,
  "shareRatio": 1.440467459309072,
  "totalAfter": 8417,
  "shareBefore": 0.004104792949414463,
  "totalBefore": 8283,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 50,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 34
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity