Will "wallet" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

15 of 1059 launches in the last hour referenced "wallet" (12 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 1.70×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.16479184330021643,
      "momentum": 0.5317695539015842,
      "diversity": 0.06000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5195601871501752
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "wallet",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.024886877828054297,
    "share60": 0.014622641509433962,
    "total15": 220,
    "total60": 1059,
    "momentum": 1.7019413224346809,
    "diversity": 0.8,
    "launches15": 5,
    "launches60": 15,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 12
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 117,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9948941666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997872569444445
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5195601871501752
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC.

Integrity