Will "api" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 55% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

26 of 2436 launches in the last hour referenced "api" (9 distinct creators, rank #27). Last 15m momentum 2.59×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.24729879383810724,
      "momentum": 0.953126854307708,
      "diversity": -0.4846153846153846
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.550098129083124
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "api",
    "rank60": 27,
    "share15": 0.028205128205128206,
    "share60": 0.010874025441116127,
    "total15": 584,
    "total60": 2436,
    "momentum": 2.593807450411224,
    "diversity": 0.34615384615384615,
    "launches15": 16,
    "launches60": 26,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 9
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 390,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9918497222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9986416203703704
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.550098129083124
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0015498154981549816,
  "shareRatio": 0.6173676752334593,
  "totalAfter": 13550,
  "shareBefore": 0.002537575639273863,
  "totalBefore": 15369,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 21,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 39
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity