Will "actinium" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

22 of 1199 launches in the last hour referenced "actinium" (12 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 2.92×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.22224068113863232,
      "momentum": 1.0704414117014136,
      "diversity": -0.24545454545454548
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5556716568114468
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "actinium",
    "rank60": 11,
    "share15": 0.0546875,
    "share60": 0.01875,
    "total15": 319,
    "total60": 1199,
    "momentum": 2.916666666666667,
    "diversity": 0.5454545454545454,
    "launches15": 17,
    "launches60": 22,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 12
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 135,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9993763888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999740162037037
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5556716568114468
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.000024377163473258253,
  "shareRatio": 0.0708756876223907,
  "totalAfter": 41022,
  "shareBefore": 0.0005044483169769789,
  "totalBefore": 43612,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 1,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 22
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity