Will "robe" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 24% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

20 of 1365 launches in the last hour referenced "robe" (4 distinct creators, rank #25). Last 15m momentum 0.30×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2079441541679836,
      "momentum": -1.2154006682578244,
      "diversity": -0.66
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.2434737207163701
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "robe",
    "rank60": 25,
    "share15": 0.004451038575667656,
    "share60": 0.015007320644216691,
    "total15": 336,
    "total60": 1365,
    "momentum": 0.2965911558225375,
    "diversity": 0.2,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 20,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 156,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9993791666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999741319444444
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.2434737207163701
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 12:00 UTC.

Integrity