Will "girl" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 65% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "girl" (5 distinct creators, rank #205). Last 15m momentum 2.71×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 0.9984253720244922,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6476893253486395
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "girl",
    "rank60": 205,
    "share15": 0.00945945945945946,
    "share60": 0.003485424588086185,
    "total15": 369,
    "total60": 1577,
    "momentum": 2.714004914004914,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 209,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932597222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9988766203703704
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6476893253486395
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0008925673482635508,
  "shareRatio": 0.6776702405099971,
  "totalAfter": 12324,
  "shareBefore": 0.0013114754098360656,
  "totalBefore": 7625,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 11,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 10
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity