Will "doge" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 1593 launches in the last hour referenced "doge" (7 distinct creators, rank #91). Last 15m momentum 1.26×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": 0.23133257345489808,
      "diversity": 0.15
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5378855252250228
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "doge",
    "rank60": 91,
    "share15": 0.006720430107526882,
    "share60": 0.00533249686323714,
    "total15": 371,
    "total60": 1593,
    "momentum": 1.2602783048703352,
    "diversity": 0.875,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 208,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9984925,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9984925
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5378855252250228
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006543723973825104,
  "shareRatio": 1.2829614604462474,
  "totalAfter": 1681,
  "shareBefore": 0.005018820577164366,
  "totalBefore": 1594,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 11,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 8
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity