Will "please" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 44% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

97 of 2625 launches in the last hour referenced "please" (3 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.64×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.44479095991039236,
      "momentum": 0.4926929858763335,
      "diversity": -0.8628865979381443
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4383695349118898
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "please",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.06076923076923077,
    "share60": 0.03712871287128713,
    "total15": 649,
    "total60": 2625,
    "momentum": 1.6367179487179488,
    "diversity": 0.030927835051546393,
    "launches15": 39,
    "launches60": 97,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 408,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9946447222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9991074537037037
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4383695349118898
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.020737679828588918,
  "shareRatio": 2.926457518032552,
  "totalAfter": 13068,
  "shareBefore": 0.007067137809187279,
  "totalBefore": 15565,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 271,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 110
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity