Will "profile" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 8% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

25 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "profile" (5 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.07×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.24141568686511503,
      "momentum": -2.605241498960567,
      "diversity": -0.66
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.08190971972996568
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "profile",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.00117096018735363,
    "share60": 0.015848353014294592,
    "total15": 426,
    "total60": 1608,
    "momentum": 0.0738852918216467,
    "diversity": 0.2,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 25,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 239,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974277777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9995712962962963
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.08190971972996568
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0001498464074323818,
  "shareRatio": 0.051693137548696436,
  "totalAfter": 13347,
  "shareBefore": 0.003566087656735304,
  "totalBefore": 8693,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 2,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 31
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity