Will "crime" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "crime" (34 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.52×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": 0.4160240765985885,
      "diversity": 0.04883720930232553
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5234360165109059
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "crime",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.040983606557377046,
    "share60": 0.027035425730267248,
    "total15": 426,
    "total60": 1608,
    "momentum": 1.5159223666855095,
    "diversity": 0.7906976744186046,
    "launches15": 17,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 34
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 239,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974277777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998928240740741
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5234360165109059
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 15:00 UTC.

Integrity