Will "record" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 65% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

111 of 1821 launches in the last hour referenced "record" (41 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 2.44×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.46501384333173507,
      "momentum": 0.8916395232649944,
      "diversity": -0.45675675675675675
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6456326518303623
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "record",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.14926590538336051,
    "share60": 0.06119648737650933,
    "total15": 612,
    "total60": 1821,
    "momentum": 2.439125377654555,
    "diversity": 0.36936936936936937,
    "launches15": 91,
    "launches60": 111,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 41
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 203,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9942627777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9942627777777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6456326518303623
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.01932367149758454,
  "shareRatio": 0.3124440968957852,
  "totalAfter": 2484,
  "shareBefore": 0.06222707423580786,
  "totalBefore": 1832,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 48,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 114
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity