Will "money" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 49% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

61 of 2448 launches in the last hour referenced "money" (11 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.76×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3752153927608816,
      "momentum": 0.5647548139481644,
      "diversity": -0.6836065573770492
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4890926430312102
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "money",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.044172932330827065,
    "share60": 0.025112290730910574,
    "total15": 531,
    "total60": 2448,
    "momentum": 1.759016443547894,
    "diversity": 0.18032786885245902,
    "launches15": 23,
    "launches60": 61,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 11
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 441,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999397222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999397222222223
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4890926430312102
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.03781882145998241,
  "shareRatio": 1.51407844188332,
  "totalAfter": 2274,
  "shareBefore": 0.024918300653594773,
  "totalBefore": 2448,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 86,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 61
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity