Will "agent" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 72% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

77 of 2185 launches in the last hour referenced "agent" (64 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 3.53×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.41015512641293755,
      "momentum": 1.262143779395134,
      "diversity": 0.09740259740259746
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.718855390932359
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "agent",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.12525458248472504,
    "share60": 0.03545288197621226,
    "total15": 490,
    "total60": 2185,
    "momentum": 3.5329873201497923,
    "diversity": 0.8311688311688312,
    "launches15": 61,
    "launches60": 77,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 64
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 286,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9993741666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998956944444445
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.718855390932359
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00935936743585606,
  "shareRatio": 0.7449651023582012,
  "totalAfter": 12394,
  "shareBefore": 0.01257708536189549,
  "totalBefore": 12324,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 116,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 155
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity