Will "market" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 55% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

19 of 2130 launches in the last hour referenced "market" (15 distinct creators, rank #32). Last 15m momentum 1.63×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.200250160009851,
      "momentum": 0.488454309563248,
      "diversity": 0.047368421052631594
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5536059385049559
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "market",
    "rank60": 32,
    "share15": 0.014913657770800628,
    "share60": 0.009150633505396527,
    "total15": 636,
    "total60": 2130,
    "momentum": 1.629795113311597,
    "diversity": 0.7894736842105263,
    "launches15": 9,
    "launches60": 19,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 15
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 303,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9934808333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9989134722222223
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5536059385049559
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.007025373997851062,
  "shareRatio": 0.9532900432900433,
  "totalAfter": 12099,
  "shareBefore": 0.007373705679322246,
  "totalBefore": 12748,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 85,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 94
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity