Will "public" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

11 of 2306 launches in the last hour referenced "public" (11 distinct creators, rank #89). Last 15m momentum 0.96×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.11826860405464054,
      "momentum": -0.041934509386218566,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.519074262590922
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "public",
    "rank60": 89,
    "share15": 0.004780114722753346,
    "share60": 0.004984828781967924,
    "total15": 522,
    "total60": 2306,
    "momentum": 0.9589325795993017,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 11,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 11
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 326,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990605555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9990605555555555
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.519074262590922
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0038929440389294406,
  "shareRatio": 0.8300837421756048,
  "totalAfter": 2055,
  "shareBefore": 0.004766031195840554,
  "totalBefore": 2308,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 8,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 11
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity