Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

99 of 2306 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (60 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.49×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4478522906550734,
      "momentum": 0.3955095887753044,
      "diversity": -0.1727272727272727
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5422599927539445
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.06405353728489484,
    "share60": 0.04312960554833117,
    "total15": 522,
    "total60": 2306,
    "momentum": 1.4851408092085667,
    "diversity": 0.6060606060606061,
    "launches15": 33,
    "launches60": 99,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 60
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 326,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990605555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998434259259259
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5422599927539445
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04042662996731464,
  "shareRatio": 1.0072345282058308,
  "totalAfter": 11626,
  "shareBefore": 0.040140415140415144,
  "totalBefore": 13104,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 470,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 526
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity