Will "alon" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

34 of 2208 launches in the last hour referenced "alon" (18 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 3.22×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28753839182730917,
      "momentum": 1.1687013229004808,
      "diversity": -0.2647058823529412
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5734073796414217
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "alon",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.05025553662691652,
    "share60": 0.01561792666364871,
    "total15": 586,
    "total60": 2208,
    "momentum": 3.2178110263437274,
    "diversity": 0.5294117647058824,
    "launches15": 29,
    "launches60": 34,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 18
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 294,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960077777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998336574074074
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5734073796414217
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 21:00 UTC.

Integrity