Will "market" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 66% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

16 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "market" (15 distinct creators, rank #68). Last 15m momentum 1.76×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.17447262147085213,
      "momentum": 0.5671886897443899,
      "diversity": 0.22499999999999998
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6607551683007705
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "market",
    "rank60": 68,
    "share15": 0.01555023923444976,
    "share60": 0.008818813468733297,
    "total15": 417,
    "total60": 1870,
    "momentum": 1.7633028853124548,
    "diversity": 0.9375,
    "launches15": 6,
    "launches60": 16,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 15
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 245,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996661111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996661111111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6607551683007705
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.007029876977152899,
  "shareRatio": 0.8307607692853596,
  "totalAfter": 1707,
  "shareBefore": 0.008547008547008548,
  "totalBefore": 1872,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 12,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 16
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity