Will "pepe" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 50% → ACCELERATES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

75 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "pepe" (53 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 1.10×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4062075301653315,
      "momentum": 0.09238496957863357,
      "diversity": -0.052
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5031536456348329
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pepe",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.04425837320574163,
    "share60": 0.04035275253874933,
    "total15": 417,
    "total60": 1870,
    "momentum": 1.0967869704363258,
    "diversity": 0.7066666666666667,
    "launches15": 18,
    "launches60": 75,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 53
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 245,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996661111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999443518518518
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5031536456348329
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC.

Integrity