Will "dogs" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 14% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

51 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "dogs" (26 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.04×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34835815804353376,
      "momentum": -3.1359820944803025,
      "diversity": -0.2882352941176471
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.13729633737378674
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dogs",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.0011961722488038277,
    "share60": 0.027525387493319082,
    "total15": 417,
    "total60": 1870,
    "momentum": 0.043457053932271096,
    "diversity": 0.5098039215686274,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 51,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 26
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 245,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996661111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999986087962963
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.13729633737378674
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC.

Integrity