GENESISv0.1.0
development instance · real Pump.fun observations · no token · no real rewards
Ledger / Prediction #4246 · token · 6H

Will $Inutelligent still have sustained attention 6H from now (still trading and at least 2× its launch market cap, or graduated)?

GENESIS said 10% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

Launched 15m ago. X link, website. No hot term.

Made2026-10-15 00:00 UTC
Resolves2026-10-15 06:00 UTC
Evidence cutoff2026-10-15 00:00 UTC
Data sourcespumpfun.launch_feed
GENESIS version0.1.0
Enginetoken-heuristic-v0
Scoring methodtoken-sustained-v1
Active capabilities6
Evidence (exact record)
{
  "model": {
    "version": "token-heuristic-v0",
    "contributions": {
      "hotTerm": 0,
      "twitter": 0.4,
      "website": 0.3,
      "telegram": 0,
      "description": 0,
      "serialCreator": 0
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.09583022773245922
  },
  "features": {
    "mint": "ytKjakEEKpeeSeAWpVpPJTXQvhEp8RTGqG55kb2pump",
    "name": "Inutelligent",
    "symbol": "Inutelligent",
    "hotTerms": [],
    "ageMinutes": 15,
    "hasTwitter": true,
    "hasWebsite": true,
    "hasTelegram": false,
    "descriptionLength": 13,
    "marketCapAtObservation": 3547.5214758845564,
    "creatorLaunchesInContext": 2
  },
  "selection": "uniform-random among launches aged 10-30 min",
  "candidates": 617,
  "calibration": null
}
Expected
{
  "direction": "fades",
  "probabilitySustained": 0.09583022773245922
}
Engine token-heuristic-v0

P(a token launched 10-30 minutes ago still has sustained attention at the horizon). Uses only what GENESIS saw at launch: social links, description, creator behaviour, whether it rides a hot term. Hand-set weights around a ~5% prior.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC.

Integrity

Hashe94c39ccd6ec8cf03ea0220c2865ac7ea9bfbcffdde48654dcef9d767434aff0
Previous hash6ed96f39ea11890b8cc64408cd17623897830a355c81d773fe74c7ef8bf4bc24