Ledger / Prediction #4246 · token · 6H
Will $Inutelligent still have sustained attention 6H from now (still trading and at least 2× its launch market cap, or graduated)?
GENESIS said 10% → FADES OPEN
What GENESIS knew, before
Launched 15m ago. X link, website. No hot term.
Made2026-10-15 00:00 UTC
Resolves2026-10-15 06:00 UTC
Evidence cutoff2026-10-15 00:00 UTC
Data sourcespumpfun.launch_feed
GENESIS version0.1.0
Enginetoken-heuristic-v0
Scoring methodtoken-sustained-v1
Active capabilities6
Evidence (exact record)
{
"model": {
"version": "token-heuristic-v0",
"contributions": {
"hotTerm": 0,
"twitter": 0.4,
"website": 0.3,
"telegram": 0,
"description": 0,
"serialCreator": 0
},
"rawProbability": 0.09583022773245922
},
"features": {
"mint": "ytKjakEEKpeeSeAWpVpPJTXQvhEp8RTGqG55kb2pump",
"name": "Inutelligent",
"symbol": "Inutelligent",
"hotTerms": [],
"ageMinutes": 15,
"hasTwitter": true,
"hasWebsite": true,
"hasTelegram": false,
"descriptionLength": 13,
"marketCapAtObservation": 3547.5214758845564,
"creatorLaunchesInContext": 2
},
"selection": "uniform-random among launches aged 10-30 min",
"candidates": 617,
"calibration": null
}Expected
{
"direction": "fades",
"probabilitySustained": 0.09583022773245922
}Engine token-heuristic-v0
P(a token launched 10-30 minutes ago still has sustained attention at the horizon). Uses only what GENESIS saw at launch: social links, description, creator behaviour, whether it rides a hot term. Hand-set weights around a ~5% prior.
What happened, after
Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC.
Integrity
Hash
e94c39ccd6ec8cf03ea0220c2865ac7ea9bfbcffdde48654dcef9d767434aff0Previous hash
6ed96f39ea11890b8cc64408cd17623897830a355c81d773fe74c7ef8bf4bc24