Will "4chan" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 6% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

49 of 1674 launches in the last hour referenced "4chan" (3 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.05×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34235735785147897,
      "momentum": -3.032337629341289,
      "diversity": -0.826530612244898
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.05943722839477786
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "4chan",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.0014245014245014246,
    "share60": 0.02955223880597015,
    "total15": 350,
    "total60": 1674,
    "momentum": 0.04820282598060376,
    "diversity": 0.061224489795918366,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 49,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 145,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9921572222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9986928703703704
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.05943722839477786
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC.

Integrity