Will "grok" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

12 of 1674 launches in the last hour referenced "grok" (10 distinct creators, rank #54). Last 15m momentum 1.72×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.13132031060308497,
      "momentum": 0.5411309732613195,
      "diversity": 0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5215430646618423
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "grok",
    "rank60": 54,
    "share15": 0.01282051282051282,
    "share60": 0.007462686567164179,
    "total15": 350,
    "total60": 1674,
    "momentum": 1.7179487179487178,
    "diversity": 0.8333333333333334,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 12,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 145,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9921572222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996732175925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5215430646618423
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-16 02:30 UTC.

Integrity