Will "chinese" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

27 of 1389 launches in the last hour referenced "chinese" (22 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 2.19×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2529598430355343,
      "momentum": 0.7828911390536741,
      "diversity": 0.07777777777777772
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6176392777372146
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "chinese",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.04328358208955224,
    "share60": 0.019784172661870502,
    "total15": 334,
    "total60": 1389,
    "momentum": 2.1877883310719133,
    "diversity": 0.8148148148148148,
    "launches15": 14,
    "launches60": 27,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 22
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 162,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974416666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9995736111111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6176392777372146
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC.

Integrity