Will "tapmeme" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 32% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1389 launches in the last hour referenced "tapmeme" (5 distinct creators, rank #191). Last 15m momentum 0.38×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": -0.9749667784986995,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3159435802830486
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "tapmeme",
    "rank60": 191,
    "share15": 0.0014925373134328358,
    "share60": 0.003956834532374101,
    "total15": 334,
    "total60": 1389,
    "momentum": 0.37720488466757124,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 162,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974416666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9995736111111111
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3159435802830486
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC.

Integrity