Will "taking" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 6% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

40 of 2021 launches in the last hour referenced "taking" (4 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 0.05×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3119162312519754,
      "momentum": -3.007165184367382,
      "diversity": -0.78
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.06107263281842659
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "taking",
    "rank60": 14,
    "share15": 0.0009900990099009901,
    "share60": 0.020029673590504452,
    "total15": 504,
    "total60": 2021,
    "momentum": 0.04943160982764943,
    "diversity": 0.1,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 40,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 302,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9977180555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996196759259259
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.06107263281842659
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0008563476771569257,
  "shareRatio": 0.2770495220176096,
  "totalAfter": 9342,
  "shareBefore": 0.003249446902654867,
  "totalBefore": 14464,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 8,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 47
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity